Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 49.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Rentistas had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.31%) and 1-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Rentistas win it was 1-0 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
