Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Cerro Largo has a probability of 31.56% and a draw has a probability of 31.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.52%) and 2-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win is 0-1 (13.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 0-0 (14.24%).
-0.16) 
0.09) 
