SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 43.44%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 28.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 1-0 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
28.23% ( 0.01) | 28.33% ( 0.01) | 43.44% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.77% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.97% ( -0.03) | 61.03% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.99% ( -0.02) | 81.01% ( 0.02) |
| Obolon Kyiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.1% ( -0) | 37.9% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.32% ( -0.01) | 74.67% ( 0.01) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( -0.02) | 27.91% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.48% ( -0.03) | 63.52% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.35% 2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.06% 3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 1.66% Total : 28.23% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 13.49% 0-2 @ 8.62% ( -0)1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 1.72% Total : 43.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 34 |
| 3 | Polissya ZhytomyrPolissya | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 32 |
| 4 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 31 |
| 5 | Dynamo Kiev | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 25 |
| 6 | Rukh Lviv | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 25 |
| 7 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 22 |
| 8 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | LNZ CherkasyCherkasy | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 | Metalist Kharkiv | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 15 |
| 12 | Obolon KyivObolon | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 13 |
| 14 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Veres | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
| 16 | Minai | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 6 |
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