SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 69.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 10.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.76%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shakhtar Donetsk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Obolon Kyiv |
69.25% ( 0.28) | 20.1% ( -0.15) | 10.65% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 38.9% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.86% ( 0.22) | 53.13% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.29% ( 0.18) | 74.71% ( -0.19) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.68% ( 0.16) | 14.32% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.85% ( 0.31) | 42.15% ( -0.31) |
| Obolon Kyiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.4% ( -0.13) | 54.59% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 12.36% ( -0.08) | 87.64% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Obolon Kyiv |
| 1-0 @ 15.19% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 14.76% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.89% Total : 69.25% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.1% | 0-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.7% Total : 10.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | Polissya ZhytomyrPolissya | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 21 |
| 5 | Rukh Lviv | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 20 |
| 6 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
| 7 | Dynamo Kiev | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | Obolon KyivObolon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 12 |
| 11 | Metalist Kharkiv | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 10 |
| 13 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | LNZ CherkasyCherkasy | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 | Veres | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 | Minai | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 4 |
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