SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Obolon Kyiv win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Obolon Kyiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Obolon Kyiv in this match.
| Result | ||
| Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
42.05% ( 0.17) | 28.91% ( -0.45) | 29.03% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 43.65% ( 1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.37% ( 1.49) | 62.62% ( -1.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.81% ( 1.07) | 82.19% ( -1.08) |
| Obolon Kyiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.56% ( 0.84) | 29.44% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.56% ( 1.01) | 65.44% ( -1.02) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.86% ( 1.06) | 38.13% ( -1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.1% ( 1) | 74.9% ( -1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
| 1-0 @ 13.72% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.47% Total : 42.05% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.64)2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.9% | 0-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.63% Total : 29.03% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | Polissya ZhytomyrPolissya | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 31 |
| 4 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 25 |
| 5 | Rukh Lviv | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 24 |
| 6 | Dynamo Kiev | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 22 |
| 7 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 22 |
| 8 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 19 |
| 10 | LNZ CherkasyCherkasy | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 | Metalist Kharkiv | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | Obolon KyivObolon | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 13 |
| 14 | Veres | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 12 |
| 15 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Minai | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 6 |
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