SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 59.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 16.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dnipro-1 in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dnipro-1 | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
59.79% ( -0.41) | 23.94% ( 0.32) | 16.27% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 42.56% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.5% ( -0.97) | 56.5% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.5% ( -0.79) | 77.5% ( 0.79) |
| Dnipro-1 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.3% ( -0.51) | 18.7% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.95% ( -0.86) | 50.05% ( 0.87) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.34% ( -0.46) | 47.65% ( 0.46) |
