Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Oleksandriya would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Oleksandriya | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
38.77% ( 0.88) | 26% ( -0.18) | 35.22% ( -0.71) |
Both teams to score 54.13% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.74% ( 0.69) | 50.25% ( -0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.79% ( 0.61) | 72.2% ( -0.61) |
FC Oleksandriya Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.59% ( 0.81) | 25.4% ( -0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.78% ( 1.09) | 60.21% ( -1.09) |
Vorskla Poltava Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.57% ( -0.09) | 27.42% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.09% ( -0.12) | 62.9% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
FC Oleksandriya | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.52% Total : 38.77% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.96% Total : 35.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 25 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 58 | 18 | 40 | 60 |
2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 20 | 35 | 57 |
3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 55 |
4 | Dynamo Kiev | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 50 |
5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 38 |
6 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 33 |
7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 32 |
8 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 30 |
9 | Inhulets | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 27 |
10 | Metalist Kharkiv | 25 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 27 |
11 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 26 |
12 | Minai | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 26 |
13 | Veres | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 24 |
14 | Rukh Lviv | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 24 |
15 | Metal Kharkiv | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 22 |
16 | FC LvivLviv | 25 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 13 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: