SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vorskla Poltava in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
30.41% ( -0.12) | 25.45% ( -0.01) | 44.14% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.4% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.78% ( -0.03) | 49.22% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.72% ( -0.02) | 71.28% ( 0.02) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.98% ( -0.09) | 30.02% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.85% ( -0.11) | 66.15% ( 0.11) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.74% ( 0.05) | 22.26% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.3% ( 0.07) | 55.69% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 30.41% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.74% 1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 44.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 66 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 27 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 59 | 22 | 37 | 64 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 58 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 42 |
| 6 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 36 |
| 7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 35 |
| 8 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 33 |
| 9 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 29 |
| 10 | Veres | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
| 11 | Inhulets | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Metalist Kharkiv | 26 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 20 | 39 | -19 | 27 |
| 13 | Minai | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 24 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 49 | -23 | 22 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 13 |
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