SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chornomorets Odesa win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Minai had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Minai win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Minai |
42.88% ( 0.01) | 25.46% ( 0) | 31.65% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.95% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.23% ( -0.01) | 48.77% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.13% ( -0.01) | 70.87% ( 0.01) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.34% ( 0) | 22.66% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.7% ( 0) | 56.3% ( -0) |
| Minai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% ( -0.01) | 28.95% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.16% ( -0.01) | 64.84% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Minai |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.2% Total : 42.88% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 8.13% 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.04% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 72 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 64 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 59 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 43 |
| 6 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 41 |
| 8 | Minai | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 33 |
| 9 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 33 |
| 10 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | Rukh Lviv | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 | Inhulets | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 31 |
| 13 | Metalist Kharkiv | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 31 |
| 14 | Veres | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 22 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 51 | -33 | 13 |
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