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European Under-21 Championship | Group Stage
Jun 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cluj Arena
Italy U21s
0 - 1
Norway U21s

Ricci (49'), Cancellieri (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Botheim (65')
Evjen (6')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Switzerland U21s 2-3 Italy U21s
Sunday, June 25 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
All competitions
Last Game: Norway U21s 0-1 France U21s
Sunday, June 25 at 7.45pm in European Under-21 Championship

We said: Italy Under-21s 1-1 Norway Under-21s

A nervy 90 minutes could be in store for Italy, as Norway will play without pressure and may return to form shown in qualifying - Switzerland will prove no pushovers for France in the other Group D game, too. Nonetheless, even a draw may be enough for the Azzurrini to reach the knockout phase, where few teams will want to face them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 62.46%. A draw has a probability of 20.4% and a win for Norway Under-21s has a probability of 17.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Norway Under-21s win it is 1-2 (4.74%).

Result
Italy Under-21sDrawNorway Under-21s
62.46% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09) 20.37% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 17.16% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.19% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.45% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)40.54% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.07% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)62.92% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Italy Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.57% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)12.42% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.66% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)38.34% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Norway Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.02% (0.056999999999995 0.06)36.97% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.23% (0.056000000000001 0.06)73.76% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Italy Under-21s 62.46%
    Norway Under-21s 17.16%
    Draw 20.37%
Italy Under-21sDrawNorway Under-21s
2-0 @ 9.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.91% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 62.46%
1-1 @ 9.53% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.59% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.37%
1-2 @ 4.74% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.57% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.27% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.57% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 17.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Switzerland U21s 2-3 Italy U21s
Sunday, June 25 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: France U21s 2-1 Italy U21s
Thursday, June 22 at 7.45pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Italy U21s 0-2 England U21s
Thursday, September 22 at 4.30pm in Under-21 Friendlies
Last Game: Portugal U21s 5-3 Italy U21s
Monday, May 31 at 8pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Italy U21s 4-0 Slovenia U21s
Tuesday, March 30 at 8pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Spain U21s 0-0 Italy U21s
Saturday, March 27 at 8pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Norway U21s 0-1 France U21s
Sunday, June 25 at 7.45pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Norway U21s 1-2 Switzerland U21s
Thursday, June 22 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Portugal U21s 4-1 Norway U21s
Friday, October 9 at 7.30pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Netherlands U21s 2-0 Norway U21s
Tuesday, September 8 at 7pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Norway U21s 6-0 Gibraltar U21s
Friday, September 4 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Norway U21s 2-3 Portugal U21s
Tuesday, November 19 at 5.30pm in European Under-21 Championship
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