Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between UD Oliveirense and Arouca.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for UD Oliveirense had a probability of 22.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a UD Oliveirense win it was 1-0 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
| Result |
| UD Oliveirense | Draw | Arouca |
22.76% ( -0) | 24.89% ( 0) | 52.35% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 49.77% ( 0) |
