Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Leixoes and UD Oliveirense.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leixoes win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for UD Oliveirense had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leixoes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest UD Oliveirense win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leixoes would win this match.
| Result |
| Leixoes | Draw | UD Oliveirense |
44.41% ( 0.08) | 25.21% ( -0.02) | 30.38% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.17% ( 0.01) |
| 51.79% ( 0.03) | 48.2% ( -0.03) |
| 29.64% ( 0.03) | 70.36% ( -0.03) |
| 78.29% ( 0.05) | 21.7% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.14% ( 0.07) | 54.86% ( -0.08) |
| 70.47% ( -0.03) | 29.53% ( 0.03) |
