SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Lugano |
47.95% ( -0.04) | 22.29% ( 0.05) | 29.75% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 65.14% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.04% ( -0.29) | 34.96% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.06% ( -0.32) | 56.94% ( 0.32) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.94% ( -0.13) | 15.05% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.44% ( -0.23) | 43.55% ( 0.23) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.68% ( -0.16) | 23.32% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.73% ( -0.23) | 57.27% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.26% Total : 47.95% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 29.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Young Boys | 36 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 82 | 30 | 52 | 74 |
| 2 | Servette | 36 | 14 | 16 | 6 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 58 |
| 3 | LuganoLugano | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 57 |
| 4 | Luzern | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 52 | 4 | 50 |
| 5 | Basel | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
| 6 | St GallenSt Gallen | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 66 | 52 | 14 | 45 |
| 7 | Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 44 |
| 8 | FC Zurich | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 44 |
| 9 | FC WinterthurWinterthur | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 32 |
| 10 | Sion | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 41 | 73 | -32 | 31 |
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