SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.65%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | St Gallen |
34.3% ( -0.35) | 23.08% ( -0.04) | 42.62% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 64.42% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.2% ( 0.12) | 36.8% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.03% ( 0.13) | 58.98% ( -0.13) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( -0.13) | 21.65% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.23% ( -0.2) | 54.77% ( 0.2) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.22% ( 0.21) | 17.78% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.51% ( 0.37) | 48.49% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.59% Total : 34.3% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.94% Total : 42.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Young Boys | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 78 | 27 | 51 | 68 |
| 2 | Servette | 33 | 12 | 15 | 6 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 51 |
| 3 | LuganoLugano | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 50 |
| 4 | Luzern | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 46 |
| 5 | Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 43 |
| 6 | Basel | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 42 |
| 7 | St GallenSt Gallen | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 40 |
| 8 | FC Zurich | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 38 |
| 9 | FC WinterthurWinterthur | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 31 | 61 | -30 | 32 |
| 10 | Sion | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 31 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
