Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.