Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Luzern	Draw	Basel
31.77% ( 0.04)	24.86% ( -0.06)	43.37% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 57.04% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.93% (

0.29)

46.07% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.63% (

0.27)

68.37% (

-0.28)

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.46% (

0.17)

27.54% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.95% (

0.21)

63.05% (

-0.21)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.72% (

0.13)

21.28% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.79% (

0.2)

54.21% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Luzern 31.77%

Basel 43.37%

Draw 24.85%

Luzern	Draw	Basel
1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 31.77%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.85%	0-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 43.37%