Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Winterthur win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Winterthur win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Winterthur would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.09) 
