SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Luzern in this match.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
60.82% ( -0.37) | 20.57% ( 0.16) | 18.6% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 57.44% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.03% ( -0.42) | 38.97% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.71% ( -0.45) | 61.29% ( 0.45) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.59% ( -0.23) | 12.4% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.7% ( -0.49) | 38.29% ( 0.49) |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.57% ( -0.03) | 34.42% ( 0.03) |
