SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Umraniyespor win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Umraniyespor | Draw | Sivasspor |
33.25% ( -0.1) | 24.64% ( 0) | 42.12% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 58.36% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.41% ( -0.04) | 44.59% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.05% ( -0.04) | 66.95% ( 0.04) |
| Umraniyespor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% ( -0.08) | 25.91% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.1% ( -0.1) | 60.9% ( 0.11) |
| Sivasspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% ( 0.03) | 21.23% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.87% ( 0.05) | 54.13% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Umraniyespor | Draw | Sivasspor |
| 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.43% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.25% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 42.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 80 | 27 | 53 | 85 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 35 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 84 | 42 | 42 | 77 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 35 | 23 | 8 | 4 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 77 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 74 | 44 | 30 | 66 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 59 |
| 6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 63 | 51 | 12 | 57 |
| 7 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 50 |
| 8 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 72 | 63 | 9 | 48 |
| 9 | KayserisporKayserispor | 35 | 15 | 4 | 16 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 46 |
| 10 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 43 |
| 11 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 42 |
| 12 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
| 13 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 54 | 70 | -16 | 41 |
| 14 | SivassporSivasspor | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 40 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 35 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 38 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 37 |
| R | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 47 | 60 | -13 | 30 |
| 18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 80 | -61 | 23 |
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