SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 54.37%. A win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Umraniyespor win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Umraniyespor |
54.37% ( -0.85) | 21.94% ( 0.13) | 23.69% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 60.58% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.54% ( 0.2) | 38.46% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.25% ( 0.21) | 60.75% ( -0.22) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.82% ( -0.21) | 14.17% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.14% ( -0.39) | 41.86% ( 0.39) |
| Umraniyespor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% ( 0.7) | 29.41% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.59% ( 0.85) | 65.4% ( -0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Umraniyespor |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.4% Total : 54.37% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.18% Total : 23.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 31 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 69 | 26 | 43 | 73 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 68 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 66 | 35 | 31 | 60 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 51 |
| 6 | KayserisporKayserispor | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 49 |
| 7 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 48 |
| 8 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 46 |
| 9 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 66 | 55 | 11 | 44 |
| 10 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 38 |
| 11 | SivassporSivasspor | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 37 |
| 12 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 37 |
| 13 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 36 |
| 14 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 35 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 35 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 28 |
| 17 | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 26 |
| 18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 68 | -49 | 23 |
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