SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umraniyespor win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Umraniyespor win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Umraniyespor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Umraniyespor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
41.61% ( -0.51) | 24.06% ( -0.09) | 34.33% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 60.77% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.42% ( 0.6) | 41.58% ( -0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.02% ( 0.6) | 63.98% ( -0.6) |
| Umraniyespor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.8% ( 0.02) | 20.19% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.5% ( 0.03) | 52.5% ( -0.03) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.14% ( 0.62) | 23.85% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.96% ( 0.89) | 58.04% ( -0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Umraniyespor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
| 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.98% Total : 41.61% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 67 | 23 | 44 | 70 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 72 | 36 | 36 | 64 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 62 | 33 | 29 | 57 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 48 |
| 6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | KayserisporKayserispor | 30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 49 | 51 | -2 | 45 |
| 8 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 42 |
| 9 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 41 |
| 10 | SivassporSivasspor | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 35 |
| 12 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 34 |
| 13 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 33 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 29 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 27 |
| 17 | GaziantepGaziantep | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 25 |
| 18 | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 23 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 62 | -43 | 23 |
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