SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Galatasaray in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Galatasaray.
| Result | ||
| Sivasspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
31.82% ( 0.88) | 26.14% ( 0.04) | 42.03% ( -0.91) |
| Both teams to score 52.8% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.41% ( 0.15) | 51.59% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.62% ( 0.13) | 73.38% ( -0.13) |
| Sivasspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.75% ( 0.68) | 30.25% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.58% ( 0.8) | 66.42% ( -0.8) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% ( -0.39) | 24.31% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.31% ( -0.55) | 58.69% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sivasspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.82% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.7% Total : 42.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 26 | 45 | 76 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 32 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 79 | 39 | 40 | 71 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 71 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 69 | 37 | 32 | 63 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 52 |
| 6 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 49 |
| 7 | KayserisporKayserispor | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 49 |
| 8 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 48 |
| 9 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 68 | 58 | 10 | 44 |
| 10 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 40 |
| 11 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 38 |
| 12 | SivassporSivasspor | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 37 |
| 13 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 37 |
| 14 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 36 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 35 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 31 |
| 17 | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 27 |
| 18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 31 | 60 | -29 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 71 | -52 | 23 |
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