SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 53.46%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 24.51% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Galatasaray in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Galatasaray.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Besiktas |
53.46% ( -0.05) | 22.03% ( -0.02) | 24.51% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 61.22% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.95% ( 0.16) | 38.05% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.68% ( 0.17) | 60.31% ( -0.18) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.67% ( 0.03) | 14.32% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.84% ( 0.08) | 42.16% ( -0.08) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% ( 0.14) | 28.54% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.67% ( 0.18) | 64.32% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Besiktas |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.27% ( 0)3-0 @ 5% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 53.46% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.21% 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 3.43% Total : 24.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 10 | 27 | 37 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 26 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 23 |
| 5 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 23 |
| 6 | KayserisporKayserispor | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 23 |
| 7 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 | Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 21 |
| 9 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 20 |
| 10 | Hatayspor | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 18 |
| 11 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 17 |
| 12 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | SivassporSivasspor | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 15 |
| 14 | GaziantepGaziantep | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
| 15 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | Pendikspor | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 13 |
| 17 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 | Samsunspor | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
| 19 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 11 |
| 20 | Istanbulspor | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 8 |
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