SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 69.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 12.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-0 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
12.06% ( -0) | 18.18% ( 0.02) | 69.76% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.31% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.42% ( -0.09) | 41.58% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.02% ( -0.09) | 63.98% ( 0.09) |
| Istanbulspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.26% ( -0.06) | 44.74% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.27% ( -0.05) | 80.73% ( 0.05) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.23% ( -0.03) | 10.76% ( 0.03) |
