SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 83.82%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 5.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 4-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.81%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 1-2 (1.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Gaziantep |
83.82% ( -0.62) | 10.53% ( 0.36) | 5.65% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 50.29% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.45% ( -0.67) | 25.55% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.37% ( -0.87) | 45.63% ( 0.88) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.66% ( -0.21) | 4.33% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 82.07% ( -0.67) | 17.93% ( 0.67) |
| Gaziantep Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.57% ( 0.3) | 47.43% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.19% ( 0.22) | 82.81% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Gaziantep |
| 3-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.15)1-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.19)5-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)7-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.09)7-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.96% Total : 83.81% | 1-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.85% Total : 10.53% | 1-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.32% Total : 5.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Fenerbahce | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 57 | 16 | 41 | 53 |
| 2 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 48 |
| 3 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | BesiktasBesiktas | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 35 |
| 5 | Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 32 |
| 6 | Adana Demirspor | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 29 |
| 7 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 29 |
| 8 | KayserisporKayserispor | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 29 |
| 9 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
| 10 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 26 |
| 11 | SivassporSivasspor | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
| 13 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 22 |
| 14 | Hatayspor | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 21 |
| 15 | Samsunspor | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 | GaziantepGaziantep | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 21 |
| 17 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 20 |
| 18 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
| 19 | Pendikspor | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 16 |
| 20 | Istanbulspor | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 7 |
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