SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 15.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Besiktas | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
64.5% ( -0.08) | 20.13% ( 0.01) | 15.36% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.9% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.11% ( 0.07) | 42.88% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.71% ( 0.07) | 65.29% ( -0.07) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.44% ( -0) | 12.56% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.38% ( -0) | 38.62% ( 0) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.35% ( 0.14) | 40.65% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.76% ( 0.12) | 77.24% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Besiktas | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 2-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.84% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.55% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.33% Total : 64.5% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.13% | 0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.78% Total : 15.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Fenerbahce | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 43 |
| 2 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 9 | 23 | 43 |
| 3 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 26 |
| 4 | KayserisporKayserispor | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 26 |
| 5 | BesiktasBesiktas | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 26 |
| 6 | Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | Adana Demirspor | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 24 |
| 8 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 24 |
| 9 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 22 |
| 10 | Hatayspor | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 19 |
| 11 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
| 13 | SivassporSivasspor | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 18 |
| 14 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 17 |
| 16 | GaziantepGaziantep | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 16 |
| 17 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Samsunspor | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 15 |
| 19 | Pendikspor | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 13 |
| 20 | Istanbulspor | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 8 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
