SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aluminij win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aluminij win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NS Mura | Draw | Aluminij |
35.04% ( 0.13) | 25.92% | 39.04% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 54.39% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.08% ( 0.02) | 49.91% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.09% ( 0.02) | 71.9% ( -0.02) |
| NS Mura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( 0.08) | 27.37% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.16% ( 0.11) | 62.84% ( -0.11) |
| Aluminij Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.89% ( -0.06) | 25.11% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.19% ( -0.09) | 59.81% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| NS Mura | Draw | Aluminij |
| 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 35.04% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 39.04% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Celje | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 13 | 28 | 44 |
| 2 | NK Olimpija LjubljanaLjubljana | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 34 |
| 3 | Koper | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 30 |
| 4 | Maribor | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | NK BravoBravo | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
| 6 | NK DomzaleDomzale | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 23 |
| 7 | NS Mura | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
| 8 | Radomlje | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
| 9 | Aluminij | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 15 |
| 10 | Rogaska | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 11 |
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