SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aluminij win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Koper had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aluminij win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Koper win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Koper | Draw | Aluminij |
35.37% ( -1.23) | 26.89% ( 0.04) | 37.74% ( 1.18) |
| Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.04% ( -0.22) | 53.96% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.59% ( -0.19) | 75.41% ( 0.19) |
| Koper Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.86% ( -0.85) | 29.13% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.93% ( -1.06) | 65.06% ( 1.06) |
| Aluminij Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.28% ( 0.59) | 27.72% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.71% ( 0.75) | 63.28% ( -0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Koper | Draw | Aluminij |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.37% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.98% Total : 37.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Celje | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 38 |
| 2 | NK Olimpija LjubljanaLjubljana | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 33 |
| 3 | Koper | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
| 4 | Maribor | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | NK BravoBravo | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 22 |
| 6 | NK DomzaleDomzale | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 20 |
| 7 | NS Mura | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 19 |
| 8 | Radomlje | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
| 9 | Aluminij | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 15 |
| 10 | Rogaska | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 11 |
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