SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rogaska win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rogaska win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rogaska | Draw | NS Mura |
46.43% ( -3.01) | 24.69% ( 1.07) | 28.88% ( 1.94) |
| Both teams to score 56.01% ( -2.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.29% ( -3.45) | 46.71% ( 3.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.03% ( -3.32) | 68.97% ( 3.31) |
| Rogaska Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.81% ( -2.57) | 20.19% ( 2.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.5% ( -4.29) | 52.49% ( 4.28) |
| NS Mura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.18% ( -0.36) | 29.82% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.1% ( -0.45) | 65.9% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rogaska | Draw | NS Mura |
| 1-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.56)3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.42)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.37)4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.41)4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.32)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.26)Other @ 2.84% Total : 46.43% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.64) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.83)2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.94) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.53)1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.2)Other @ 3.24% Total : 28.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Celje | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 32 |
| 2 | Koper | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | NK Olimpija LjubljanaLjubljana | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | NK BravoBravo | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
| 5 | Maribor | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | NS Mura | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 14 |
| 7 | Radomlje | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 12 |
| 8 | NK DomzaleDomzale | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 11 |
| 9 | Aluminij | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 10 |
| 10 | Rogaska | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 29 | -21 | 8 |
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