SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Maribor had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Maribor win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | Maribor |
47.83% ( 0.15) | 23.5% ( 0.14) | 28.67% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 59.94% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.53% ( -0.81) | 41.47% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.13% ( -0.83) | 63.87% ( 0.83) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.44% ( -0.26) | 17.56% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.9% ( -0.45) | 48.1% ( 0.45) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% ( -0.61) | 27.29% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.26% ( -0.79) | 62.74% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | Maribor |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.86% Total : 47.83% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.67% |
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