SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Koper had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Koper win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | Koper |
47.15% ( 0.86) | 23.19% ( 0.13) | 29.66% ( -0.99) |
| Both teams to score 61.76% ( -1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.63% ( -1.18) | 39.37% ( 1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.29% ( -1.25) | 61.71% ( 1.24) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.99% ( -0.13) | 17.01% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.86% ( -0.23) | 47.14% ( 0.23) |
| Koper Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.41% ( -1.21) | 25.58% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.54% ( -1.67) | 60.46% ( 1.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | Koper |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.39)2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.16% Total : 47.15% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.45% Total : 29.66% |
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