SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 56.11%. A win for Koper had a probability of 22.35% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Koper win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Celje in this match.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | Koper |
56.11% ( 1.24) | 21.54% ( -0.46) | 22.35% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 60.2% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.83% ( 1.26) | 38.17% ( -1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.56% ( 1.33) | 60.44% ( -1.32) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.47% ( 0.81) | 13.53% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.4% ( 1.6) | 40.6% ( -1.6) |
| Koper Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.62% ( 0.04) | 30.38% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.42% ( 0.04) | 66.58% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | Koper |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.6% Total : 56.11% | 1-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.54% | 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.9% Total : 22.35% |
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