SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Bari |
33.79% ( -0.54) | 27.83% ( 0.03) | 38.38% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 48.13% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.24% ( -0.16) | 57.75% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.5% ( -0.13) | 78.49% ( 0.13) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.95% ( -0.44) | 32.05% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.48% ( -0.51) | 68.51% ( 0.5) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( 0.22) | 29.17% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.89% ( 0.27) | 65.11% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spezia | Draw | Bari |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.78% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.82% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.37% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 41 |
| 2 | Como | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | Cittadella | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 36 |
| 4 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 35 |
| 5 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
| 6 | Cremonese | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 32 |
| 7 | Palermo | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 32 |
| 8 | Brescia | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 28 |
| 9 | Modena | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 28 |
| 10 | BariBari | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 23 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Pisa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
| 15 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 21 |
| 16 | Lecco | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 |
| 17 | Ternana | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
| 18 | AscoliAscoli | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
| 19 | SpeziaSpezia | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 17 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 14 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
