SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Lecco had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Lecco win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecco | Draw | Spezia |
31.49% ( 0.02) | 27.23% ( 0.01) | 41.27% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.32% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.01% ( -0.03) | 55.98% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.92% ( -0.03) | 77.08% ( 0.02) |
| Lecco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.28% ( -0) | 32.72% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.73% ( -0) | 69.27% ( -0) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.3% ( -0.03) | 26.7% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.04% ( -0.04) | 61.95% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecco | Draw | Spezia |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.68% 3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.49% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 11.53% 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.62% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.35% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 35 |
| 2 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
| 3 | Como | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 31 |
| 4 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 30 |
| 5 | Cremonese | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 29 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 29 |
| 7 | Palermo | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 28 |
| 8 | Modena | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 27 |
| 9 | Brescia | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
| 10 | Sampdoria | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 22 |
| 11 | BariBari | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 | Pisa | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 18 |
| 15 | Ternana | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Reggiana | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 17 |
| 17 | AscoliAscoli | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 | SpeziaSpezia | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 16 |
| 19 | Lecco | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 31 | -19 | 10 |
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