SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Parma had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Parma |
37.47% ( 0.1) | 25.4% ( -0.01) | 37.12% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.32% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.49% ( 0.04) | 47.51% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.28% ( 0.04) | 69.72% ( -0.04) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.14% ( 0.07) | 24.86% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.54% ( 0.1) | 59.46% ( -0.1) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% ( -0.03) | 25.05% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.28% ( -0.05) | 59.72% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spezia | Draw | Parma |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 37.47% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 37.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 18 | 20 | 42 |
| 2 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 38 |
| 3 | Como | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 38 |
| 4 | Cittadella | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 36 |
| 5 | Cremonese | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 35 |
| 6 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Palermo | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 32 |
| 8 | Brescia | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 28 |
| 9 | Modena | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 28 |
| 10 | BariBari | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 23 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 23 |
| 14 | Pisa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
| 15 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
| 16 | Lecco | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 |
| 17 | Ternana | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
| 18 | AscoliAscoli | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
| 19 | SpeziaSpezia | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 17 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 14 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
