SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 52.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Palermo had a probability of 23.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Palermo win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Modena | Draw | Palermo |
52.21% ( 0.01) | 24.15% ( 0.02) | 23.64% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.04% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.59% ( -0.11) | 48.4% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.46% ( -0.1) | 70.54% ( 0.1) |
| Modena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.49% ( -0.04) | 18.51% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.26% ( -0.06) | 49.73% ( 0.06) |
| Palermo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.09% ( -0.09) | 34.91% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.35% ( -0.09) | 71.64% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Modena | Draw | Palermo |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.17% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.29% Total : 52.2% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 23.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 | Palermo | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | VeneziaVenezia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Como | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Modena | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Brescia | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | SudtirolSudtirol | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | BariBari | 9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | AscoliAscoli | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Pisa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | Ternana | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 5 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
| 20 | Lecco | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 |
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