SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Palermo | Draw | Pisa |
38.25% ( 0.11) | 27.2% ( 0.01) | 34.55% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.14% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.72% ( -0.04) | 55.28% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.5% ( -0.03) | 76.5% ( 0.03) |
| Palermo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% ( 0.04) | 28.05% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.29% ( 0.06) | 63.71% ( -0.06) |
| Pisa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.7% ( -0.09) | 30.3% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.52% ( -0.11) | 66.48% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palermo | Draw | Pisa |
| 1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.24% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 34.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 58 |
| 2 | Genoa | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 47 |
| 3 | BariBari | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 46 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 44 |
| 5 | Pisa | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | RegginaReggina | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 42 |
| 7 | Parma | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | CagliariCagliari | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 38 |
| 9 | Palermo | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 | AscoliAscoli | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 36 |
| 11 | Modena | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 35 |
| 12 | Ternana | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 35 |
| 13 | Cittadella | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 | Como | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 32 |
| 15 | Perugia | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 30 |
| 16 | VeneziaVenezia | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 29 |
| 17 | BeneventoBenevento | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 27 |
| 18 | Brescia | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 26 |
| 19 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 26 |
| 20 | SPALSPAL | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 25 |
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