SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Lecco had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Lecco win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ternana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecco | Draw | Ternana |
32.2% ( 0.15) | 26.42% ( 0.13) | 41.37% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 52.04% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.37% ( -0.49) | 52.62% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.72% ( -0.43) | 74.27% ( 0.42) |
| Lecco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.48% ( -0.15) | 30.51% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.27% ( -0.17) | 66.73% ( 0.17) |
| Ternana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.89% ( -0.37) | 25.11% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.19% ( -0.51) | 59.81% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecco | Draw | Ternana |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.2% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.49% Total : 41.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 41 |
| 2 | Como | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | Cittadella | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 36 |
| 4 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 35 |
| 5 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
| 6 | Cremonese | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 32 |
| 7 | Palermo | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 32 |
| 8 | Brescia | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 28 |
| 9 | Modena | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 28 |
| 10 | BariBari | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 23 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Pisa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
| 15 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 21 |
| 16 | Lecco | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 |
| 17 | Ternana | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
| 18 | AscoliAscoli | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
| 19 | SpeziaSpezia | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 17 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 14 |
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