SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 48.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 25.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ternana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ternana | Draw | FeralpiSalo |
48.28% ( 0.18) | 26.7% ( -0.07) | 25.02% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 46.92% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.87% ( 0.18) | 57.13% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22% ( 0.14) | 78% ( -0.14) |
| Ternana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.28% ( 0.16) | 23.72% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.15% ( 0.23) | 57.85% ( -0.23) |
| FeralpiSalo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.51% ( -0) | 38.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.76% ( -0) | 75.24% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ternana | Draw | FeralpiSalo |
| 1-0 @ 13.13% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 48.28% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.55% Total : 25.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 41 |
| 2 | Como | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | Cittadella | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 36 |
| 4 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 35 |
| 5 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
| 6 | Cremonese | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 32 |
| 7 | Palermo | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 32 |
| 8 | Brescia | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 28 |
| 9 | Modena | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 28 |
| 10 | BariBari | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 23 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Pisa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
| 15 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 21 |
| 16 | Lecco | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 |
| 17 | Ternana | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
| 18 | AscoliAscoli | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
| 19 | SpeziaSpezia | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 17 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 14 |
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