SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cremonese | Draw | Parma |
42.67% ( -0.25) | 25.89% ( 0.1) | 31.43% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.46% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.34% ( -0.37) | 50.66% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.43% ( -0.32) | 72.56% ( 0.32) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.42% ( -0.28) | 23.58% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.36% ( -0.41) | 57.64% ( 0.4) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.95% ( -0.08) | 30.04% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.82% ( -0.1) | 66.17% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cremonese | Draw | Parma |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.97% Total : 42.67% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.23% Total : 31.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 21 |
| 4 | Palermo | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 | Modena | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | Como | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
| 7 | SudtirolSudtirol | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Cremonese | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | BariBari | 11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Brescia | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
| 13 | Cittadella | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | AscoliAscoli | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Pisa | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 16 | SpeziaSpezia | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Sampdoria | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Lecco | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 | Ternana | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 22 | -17 | 5 |
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