SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cosenza Calcio win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Parma had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cosenza Calcio | Draw | Parma |
41.03% ( -0.36) | 25.81% ( 0.09) | 33.16% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 54.31% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.16% ( -0.31) | 49.83% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.16% ( -0.27) | 71.83% ( 0.27) |
| Cosenza Calcio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.96% ( -0.32) | 24.04% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.7% ( -0.46) | 58.3% ( 0.46) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.5% ( 0.03) | 28.5% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.72% ( 0.03) | 64.28% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cosenza Calcio | Draw | Parma |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.03% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 33.16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 18 | 20 | 42 |
| 2 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 38 |
| 3 | Como | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 38 |
| 4 | Cittadella | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 36 |
| 5 | Cremonese | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 35 |
| 6 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Palermo | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 32 |
| 8 | Brescia | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 28 |
| 9 | Modena | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 28 |
| 10 | BariBari | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 23 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 23 |
| 14 | Pisa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
| 15 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
| 16 | Lecco | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 |
| 17 | Ternana | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
| 18 | AscoliAscoli | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
| 19 | SpeziaSpezia | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 17 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 14 |
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