SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Sudtirol | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | Como | 4 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Pisa | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Modena | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | Sudtirol | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | Como | 4 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Como had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sudtirol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Como | Draw | Sudtirol |
32.87% ( -0.45) | 28.25% ( 0.07) | 38.89% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 46.75% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.6% ( -0.31) | 59.4% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.22% ( -0.24) | 79.78% ( 0.25) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.47% ( -0.47) | 33.53% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.83% ( -0.52) | 70.17% ( 0.53) |
| Sudtirol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.33% ( 0.07) | 29.68% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.28% ( 0.09) | 65.73% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Como | Draw | Sudtirol |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.86% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.24% | 0-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.55% Total : 38.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 33 |
| 2 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 33 |
| 3 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 27 |
| 4 | Cremonese | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 26 |
| 5 | Modena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Como | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | Palermo | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 24 |
| 9 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | BariBari | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Pisa | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 17 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Brescia | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 15 |
| 16 | AscoliAscoli | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 | Lecco | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 |
| 18 | Ternana | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
| 19 | SpeziaSpezia | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 10 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 29 | -19 | 7 |
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