SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brescia | Draw | Cagliari |
34.11% ( -0.37) | 28.78% ( 0.11) | 37.11% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 45.41% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.87% ( -0.41) | 61.13% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.91% ( -0.31) | 81.09% ( 0.31) |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.42% ( -0.46) | 33.58% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.77% ( -0.51) | 70.22% ( 0.51) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.38% ( -0.05) | 31.62% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.97% ( -0.05) | 68.03% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brescia | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.1% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.77% | 0-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.91% Total : 37.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 68 |
| 2 | Genoa | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 66 |
| 3 | BariBari | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 50 | 30 | 20 | 57 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 53 |
| 5 | Parma | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 51 |
| 6 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 48 |
| 7 | Pisa | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 46 |
| 8 | RegginaReggina | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | Modena | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 44 |
| 10 | Palermo | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 43 |
| 11 | AscoliAscoli | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 43 |
| 12 | Ternana | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 43 |
| 13 | Como | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 42 |
| 14 | VeneziaVenezia | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 38 |
| 16 | Cittadella | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 37 |
| 17 | Perugia | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 35 |
| 18 | Brescia | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 35 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 34 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 30 |
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