Spezia 1-2 AC Milan - Serie A - September 25, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 21.38%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	AC Milan
21.38%	21.98%	56.63%

Both teams to score 57.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.55%

41.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.15%

63.85%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.91%

33.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.31%

69.69%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.53%

14.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.56%

42.43%

Score Analysis

Spezia 21.39%

AC Milan 56.63%

Draw 21.98%

Spezia	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 5.66% 1-0 @ 5.29% 2-0 @ 2.93% 3-1 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.32% Total : 21.39%	1-1 @ 10.23% 2-2 @ 5.47% 0-0 @ 4.79% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.98%	1-2 @ 9.9% 0-1 @ 9.26% 0-2 @ 8.95% 1-3 @ 6.38% 0-3 @ 5.77% 2-3 @ 3.53% 1-4 @ 3.08% 0-4 @ 2.79% 2-4 @ 1.7% 1-5 @ 1.19% 0-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.02% Total : 56.63%

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	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Napoli	34	26	5	3	70	23	47	83
2	Juventus	34	20	6	8	52	28	24	66
3	Lazio	35	19	8	8	54	28	26	65
4	Inter Milan	34	20	3	11	62	35	27	63
5	AC Milan	35	17	10	8	55	41	14	61
6	Atalanta BC Atalanta	35	17	7	11	56	42	14	58
7	Roma	34	17	7	10	45	33	12	58
8	Fiorentina	34	12	10	12	45	40	5	46
9	Udinese	34	11	13	10	45	41	4	46
10	Bologna	34	12	10	12	43	44	-1	46
11	Monza	34	12	10	12	42	45	-3	46
12	Torino	34	12	10	12	36	39	-3	46
13	Sassuolo Sassuolo	34	12	8	14	41	50	-9	44
14	Salernitana	35	8	14	13	43	56	-13	38
15	Empoli	34	9	11	14	31	44	-13	38
16	Lecce	35	7	11	17	30	43	-13	32
17	Hellas Verona Hellas Verona	34	7	9	18	28	51	-23	30
18	Spezia Spezia	35	6	12	17	30	56	-26	30
19	Cremonese	34	4	12	18	31	59	-28	24
R	Sampdoria	34	3	8	23	20	61	-41	17

Data Analysis

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