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Newcastle vs. Arsenal: 18 hrs 11 mins
ML
Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 12, 2021 at 5pm UK
San Siro
LL
AC Milan
2 - 0
Lazio
Leao (45'), Ibrahimovic (67')
Bakayoko (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Marusic (17'), Reina (45+5'), Alberto (45+7'), Hysaj (57')
Sarri (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawLazio
51.16%23.79%25.04%
Both teams to score 55.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.42%45.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.1%67.9%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16%17.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4%48.59%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.83%32.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35%68.65%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 51.16%
    Lazio 25.04%
    Draw 23.79%
AC MilanDrawLazio
1-0 @ 9.89%
2-1 @ 9.67%
2-0 @ 8.53%
3-1 @ 5.56%
3-0 @ 4.9%
3-2 @ 3.15%
4-1 @ 2.39%
4-0 @ 2.11%
4-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 51.16%
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 5.74%
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.79%
0-1 @ 6.51%
1-2 @ 6.36%
0-2 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 25.04%

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Serie A Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli33255369234680
2Lazio34197852262664
3Inter Milan342031162352763
4Juventus33196850282263
5AC Milan341710755391661
6Atalanta BCAtalanta33177956391758
7Roma341771045331258
8Fiorentina331210114539646
9Bologna33129124243-145
10Monza33129124144-345
11Torino33129123538-345
12Udinese331013104341243
13SassuoloSassuolo33127144049-943
14Salernitana33714124154-1335
15Empoli33811142943-1435
16Lecce33710162840-1231
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3369182751-2427
18SpeziaSpezia34512172856-2827
19Cremonese34412183159-2824
20Sampdoria3338222059-3917
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