MX23RW : Saturday, May 20 19:47:49
SM
Man City vs. Chelsea: 19 hrs 12 mins
SL
Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
ML
Sampdoria
0 - 1
AC Milan

Gabbiadini (33'), Murru (89'), Bereszynski (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Diaz (9')
Kjaer (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawAC Milan
30.98%24.3%44.71%
Both teams to score 58.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.1%43.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.72%66.28%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02%26.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.68%62.32%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.21%19.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.16%51.84%
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 30.98%
    AC Milan 44.71%
    Draw 24.3%
SampdoriaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 7.42%
1-0 @ 6.99%
2-0 @ 4.58%
3-1 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.63%
3-0 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 30.98%
1-1 @ 11.33%
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 9.18%
0-1 @ 8.65%
0-2 @ 7.01%
1-3 @ 4.96%
0-3 @ 3.78%
2-3 @ 3.25%
1-4 @ 2.01%
0-4 @ 1.53%
2-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 44.71%

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Serie A Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli35265470254583
2Juventus35216854282669
3Inter Milan352131166372966
4Lazio35198854282665
5Atalanta BCAtalanta361871159431661
6AC Milan351710855411461
7Roma351781045331259
8Monza361410124646052
9Bologna361311124845350
10Fiorentina351310124740749
11Torino351310123739-249
12Udinese351113114543246
13SassuoloSassuolo36128164456-1244
14Empoli35912143245-1339
15Salernitana35814134356-1338
16Lecce35711173043-1332
17SpeziaSpezia35612173056-2630
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3679202955-2630
19Cremonese36412203266-3424
RSampdoria3539232162-4118
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