SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Udinese in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Udinese |
29.98% ( 0.4) | 26.28% ( -0.32) | 43.74% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.57% ( 1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.21% ( 1.44) | 52.79% ( -1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.58% ( 1.21) | 74.42% ( -1.21) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% ( 1.04) | 32.15% ( -1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.36% ( 1.16) | 68.64% ( -1.15) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( 0.6) | 23.99% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.77% ( 0.84) | 58.24% ( -0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Udinese |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 4.97% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.71% Total : 29.98% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.44)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.71% Total : 43.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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