SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Udinese |
25.35% ( -0.01) | 23.13% ( -0) | 51.52% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.27% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.64% ( 0) | 42.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.24% ( 0) | 64.76% ( -0) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.8% ( -0.01) | 30.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.64% ( -0.01) | 66.36% ( 0.01) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.48% ( 0.01) | 16.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.74% ( 0.01) | 46.25% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spezia | Draw | Udinese |
| 2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.97% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.58% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 25.35% | 1-1 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.09% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.81% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.86% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.62% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.19% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 51.52% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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