SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 2-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Napoli |
19.58% ( -0.3) | 21.47% ( -0.21) | 58.95% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 56.07% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.39% ( 0.52) | 41.6% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.99% ( 0.52) | 64% ( -0.53) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.04% ( -0.01) | 34.95% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.3% ( -0.01) | 71.69% ( 0) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.2% ( 0.33) | 13.79% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.88% ( 0.64) | 41.12% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.96% Total : 19.58% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.46% | 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 9.46% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.57% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 6.25% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.25% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.05)0-5 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.16% Total : 58.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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