SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Salernitana win it was 2-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | AC Milan |
21.36% ( 1.16) | 21.39% ( 0.07) | 57.25% ( -1.23) |
| Both teams to score 59.27% ( 1.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.27% ( 1.27) | 38.73% ( -1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.96% ( 1.32) | 61.03% ( -1.32) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.42% ( 1.82) | 31.58% ( -1.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.02% ( 2.04) | 67.98% ( -2.04) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.63% ( 0.05) | 13.37% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.73% ( 0.09) | 40.27% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.62% Total : 21.36% | 1-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.24)0-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.39% | 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.49)0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.5)1-3 @ 6.61% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.16)2-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.09)1-5 @ 1.34% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.58% Total : 57.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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